Indonesia experiences tourism surge in June 2026 dry season as mainland Southeast Asia faces severe monsoon rains

As of June 22, 2026, a significant climatic divergence is affecting Southeast Asia. While mainland regions like Thailand, Vietnam, the Philippines, Cambodia, and Myanmar are experiencing severe southwest monsoon rains, flash floods, and storm systems, southern ASEAN destinations such as Bali, Lombok, and Borneo are enjoying a contrasting dry season. This shift is influenced by emerging El Niño conditions, which intensify rainfall in northern areas while suppressing it in southern island locations. Bali has seen a sharp increase in tourist arrivals due to stable temperatures between 28–31°C, clear skies, and excellent marine visibility, particularly around Nusa Penida and Amed. The Galungan and Kuningan cultural festivals from June 17–27 have also boosted visitor engagement. Lombok is experiencing increased tourism demand, with Mount Rinjani trekking routes fully operational and accommodation occupancy rising. Borneo, including both Malaysian and Indonesian regions, is seeing growth in eco-tourism and wildlife activities due to stable, hot, and clear weather. This climate contrast has led to a redistribution of tourism, with visitors shifting towards stable-weather destinations in southern ASEAN, resulting in increased demand and accommodation pricing in these areas, while mainland regions face operational disruptions from flooding and travel delays.